So Macron will simply appoint a brand new prime minister, proper?
Yes, but it surely’s not that easy.
The French National Assembly is split into three political blocs: Macron’s centrists, the far-right National Rally, and the left-wing coalition. The three teams are poles aside on politics and refuse to work collectively, that means that any new authorities might be toppled in days.
“To appoint a brand new authorities, you might want to discover a political house to assist it,” Morel mentioned. “But the centrists can’t assist even a delicate center-left candidate akin to [former PM] Bernard Cazeneuve as a result of they hate the far-left France Unbowed party” which is allied with the Socialists, he mentioned.
Macron might appoint one other right-wing prime minister, very similar to Barnier, who would have the assist of the centrists and the conservatives, and who, additionally like Barnier, might attempt to curry favor with Le Pen.
But that particular person must make substantial concessions to the far-right chief after this week’s showdown, with the intention to survive.
Otherwise, it could be like asking Le Pen to “eat her personal phrases,” Morel mentioned.