Virginia’s tenth Congressional District, within the suburbs of Washington, was by no means meant to be a linchpin within the battle for management of the House. But with the ugliest Democratic major marketing campaign of 2024 lastly ending, nationwide Democrats could also be nervously watching because the outcomes roll in on Tuesday night time.
The front-runner, State Representative Dan Helmer, is warding off a last-minute accusation of sexual harassment that he strenuously denies. Another prime candidate, Eileen Filler-Corn, has been attacked by a progressive political motion committee over a donation to a pro-Israel group that then endorsed her.
One of the sector’s prime fund-raisers, Krystle Kaul, faces prices of embellishing her résumé effectively past the same old prospers of a political marketing campaign. And amid the flying mud, one other front-runner, State Senator Suhas Subramanyam, beat again a report that he improperly put workers of his State Senate workers on his marketing campaign payroll, an accusation he says is categorically false.
All of this can be a surprisingly brutal coda to the political story of Representative Jennifer Wexton, the present Democratic consultant who flipped a Republican seat within the 2018 wave, then introduced her retirement final yr after being recognized with a uncommon neurological dysfunction, for which there isn’t any efficient therapy.
A dozen Democrats are within the race to succeed her, many with sterling political résumés. Ms. Filler-Corn was the primary lady and first Jewish speaker of the Virginia State House. Mr. Subramanyam is a present state senator for a lot of the district. Mr. Helmer is a Rhodes scholar and an Army veteran who served in Afghanistan, Iraq, and as a member of the Virginia House.
But these backgrounds and ambitions laid the groundwork for a marketing campaign that has scorched the earth of what was as soon as Republican horse nation and is now a various suburban panorama. Many of the candidates know each other — Mr. Helmer was a part of a gaggle of Virginia State House Democrats who ousted Ms. Filler-Corn as their chief in 2022 after the party misplaced management of the chamber. And a lot to the dismay of native party leaders, most of the greater names refused to drop out and rally round a rival with the intention to consolidate the sector.
None of this may matter a lot if the district was overwhelmingly Democratic (it isn’t) or management of the House wasn’t on a knife’s edge (it’s). Until the defeat of Representative Barbara Comstock, a Republican, in 2018, Virginia’s tenth was reliably pink for almost 40 years, and management of the chamber subsequent yr might hinge on solely a handful of races throughout the nation. With a Senate map that favors Republicans and former President Donald J. Trump main in most polls, House races have taken on outsize significance.
“We want a candidate who won’t put this seat in danger, and this isn’t a slam-dunk Democratic seat,” Mr. Subramanyam stated on Monday. “We can not harm our capability to win again the House, which may very well be the final firewall to guard democracy for future generations.”
Ms. Wexton endorsed Mr. Subramanyam in May, hoping to rally Democrats and winnow the sector. Two days later, The Washington Post endorsed Mr. Helmer, scrambling the deck once more.
Then final week, an nameless Democratic official, talking by her lawyer, accused Mr. Helmer of groping her and later making sexually crude remarks. On June 10, three former Loudon County Democratic Party chairmen and the present deputy chairmen backed the accuser, releasing an announcement saying the party had developed its sexual harassment insurance policies in response to “the egregious harassment” of a Loudoun County party member by Mr. Helmer.
In brief order, the Virginia chapter of the National Organization for Women, Ms. Filler-Corn, Ms. Kaul, Mayor Michele Davis Younger of Manassas, Va., and others known as on Mr. Helmer to drop from the race. Mr. Helmer refused, denouncing “baseless prices” leveled “every week earlier than an election by individuals who have endorsed my opponents.”
For their half, nationwide Republicans have watched with barely disguised glee.
“We would by no means remark earlier than the first election a couple of Democrat with severe moral baggage that might make for devastating political assault adverts and alienate a big bloc of independents and Democrat base voters,” stated Will Reinert, a spokesman for the National Republican Congressional Committee. “That can be presumptuous.”
Democratic voters within the district peppered by texts attacking Mr. Helmer may very well be forgiven in the event that they have no idea the place to show. Ms. Filler-Corn has additionally been deluged by unfavorable promoting by the liberal Virginia Democratic Action Political Action Committee, which known as her a “unhealthy Democrat.” The group additionally filed a criticism with the Federal Election Commission saying her state political motion committee transferred $110,000 to the Democratic Majority for Israel the day after the PAC endorsed her for Congress.
Ms. Filler-Corn responded defiantly: “It is shameful that I, as the girl greatest positioned to win this major, have confronted lots of of hundreds in baseless assault adverts funded by donors to different candidates on this race,” she stated.
Ms. Kaul, one of many prime three fund-raisers within the race, has confronted questions from rivals and a few district voters, largely round the place she received greater than $552,000 to lend to her marketing campaign and the way she has been in a position to translate a brief profession as a army contractor and communications skilled right into a marketing campaign declare of “serving to to guide U.S. intelligence and protection operations on the C.I.A., the United States Central Command and the broader Department of Defense.”
Ms. Kaul denied any intent to inflate her work. And she stated her private funding in her marketing campaign was a testomony to the seriousness of her first effort at elective workplace.
Then late final month, an area information outlet reported that 4 of the 5 folks on Mr. Subramanyam’s marketing campaign workers are additionally taxpayer-funded members of his Virginia Senate workers. Mr. Subramanyam stated he had “double- and triple-checked” to verify no tax cash had gone to marketing campaign work.
Besides, he stated, “we’re one in every of many campaigns who’ve somebody on the legislative facet and the marketing campaign. It’s fairly frequent in Virginia.”
Meantime, the eight-candidate Republican discipline has narrowed to 4, together with Aliscia Andrews, a Marine Corps veteran, and Alexander Isaac, a retired Army lieutenant colonel.
Such credible Republicans have been a giant purpose Avram Fechter, a former Loudoun County Democratic Committee chairman, stated he spearheaded the general public letter calling out Mr. Helmer.
A Republican might completely win the seat, he stated, including that he believed that if his party nominated Mr. Helmer, it might be taking a threat in November.